The article, “The Difference Between Knowing and Seeing: Why Intelligence Services in Africa Are Still Fighting the Last War,” raises questions about the quality of intelligence analysis and the need for intelligence organizations to provide decision-makers with timely assessments of emerging threats. That objective is not controversial. What is problematic is the conceptual framework through which the former Director-General arrives at his conclusions and, more importantly, the sweeping judgements he makes about the professional competence and orientation of Ghana’s intelligence services.
The first problem is the failure to adequately distinguish
intelligence from counterintelligence. Mark Lowenthal defines intelligence
broadly as a process involving the identification of national security
information requirements, collection, processing, analysis and dissemination,
while counterintelligence safeguards those processes and information. His
treatment of counterintelligence also demonstrates why it cannot be neatly
confined to a single functional box. Counterintelligence involves collection,
defensive and offensive activities and intersects with human intelligence,
analysis, security and law enforcement.
This distinction matters enormously in the Ghanaian context.
Under Ghana’s Security and Intelligence Agencies Acts, from 1996 through 2020
and now 2026, the Internal Intelligence Agency is expressly responsible not
only for counterintelligence and internal security but also for intelligence
relating to violent extremism and terrorism, organized crime and other criminal
activity, as well as investigations conducted in collaboration with other
security agencies into serious offences and matters of national importance. It
is therefore intellectually unsound to present criminal investigation (which
the author erroneously called criminal intelligence), security intelligence and
counterintelligence as if they occupy three sealed compartments. Both strategic
intelligence and counterintelligence are two sides of the same coin known as
security intelligence.
It must be stressed that Ghana’s Security and Intelligence
Agencies’ Act denotes the Research Department (RD) and the Bureau of National
Intelligence (BNI) as the only intelligence agencies of Ghana. The
author’s reference to the Defence Intelligence (DI) and Police Intelligence
(PI) as intelligence agencies is, therefore, flawed. The DI and PI are
departments with specific mandates of providing intelligence to support the
works of their respective agencies, just as the Ghana Immigration Service has
also got an intelligence department supporting its work. This is a normal
practice in advanced countries.
Counterintelligence is notoriously difficult to demarcate
precisely because its functions overlap with intelligence collection, security
protection, criminal investigations, counterterrorism and other national
security activities. The academic literature recognizes this difficulty. Paul
Redmond, writing in The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence, describes
counterintelligence in terms of identifying, deceiving, exploiting, disrupting
and protecting against espionage and other intelligence activities. The
literature on intelligence and law enforcement similarly recognizes that the
two are distinct but substantially overlapping domains. This is why, for
instance, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) of the United States of
America (USA) would collaborate with or take over certain criminal
investigations from other federal state law enforcement agencies when the need
arises.
The second problem is the article’s characterization of the
Bureau as essentially a “criminal intelligence” organization engaged in mere
collection and recording of incidents and that has failed to become a genuine
national security intelligence service.
That assertion requires considerably more evidence than the
author provides. The Bureau’s work cannot reasonably be assessed from the
visibility of its reports to an outsider. Much of counterintelligence and
internal intelligence is deliberately invisible. Successful counterintelligence
frequently produces no public event because its objective is to detect,
neutralize, disrupt or prevent an adversary’s activity before it becomes
visible. The absence of a visible outcome is not evidence of the absence of intelligence
activity.
Additionally, there is sufficient evidence that the Bureau
has lived up to its mandate as far as collecting, collating, analyzing, and
disseminating intelligence to the policy-maker is concerned. If the
policy-maker fails to act on the early-warning advice provided by the Bureau,
that cannot be considered a deficiency of the intelligence service. From the
1966 and 1972 coup d’états through the 1993/4 and 2002 conflicts in the north
to the Western Togoland Restoration Front’s attack of 2020, the Bureau always analyzed
information on impending national security breaches and provided
forward-looking insights, but the policy-maker failed to act on the judgement
delivered. In the 1972 coup for instance, as Kofi Bentum Quantson related in
his book “National Security: The Dilemma”, the Busia government dismissed the
intelligence advice on the coup plot based on their naïve belief that an Akan
cannot overthrow an Akan Prime Minister. In the 1993/4 Konkomba-Nanumba war and
2002 Dagbon crisis, the Bureau provided sufficient intelligence over a
considerable time pointing to the imminent conflicts, yet the policy-maker sat
on it until the conflicts broke out. Again, in the 2020 incident, intelligence
advice was provided, the government of the day failed to act.
Another crucial point to note is the trend of different
political traditions responding differently to intelligence insights provided
by the Bureau. This is evident in the previous New Patriotic Party (NPP)
government’s handling of the Western Togoland issue. Right after the 1956
plebiscite, the colonial administration as well as various post-independence
governments have contained the group, acting on intelligence assessments of the
Bureau, but the group invariably becomes uncontainable when the NPP, the
author’s political tradition, is in power. This, clearly, is not failure on the
part of the intelligence service.
The third problem concerns professional authority. The
author writes as a former Director-General and therefore speaks with the authority
of someone presumed to possess intimate knowledge of the organization. Yet his
public assessment invites an obvious question: if the deficiencies he
identifies were as fundamental and pervasive as he now suggests, what
corrective measures did he initiate during his own 2-year tenure?
This question is particularly relevant because the author
was not a career intelligence officer before becoming Director-General. His
experience at the apex of an intelligence organization should not automatically
be equated with the accumulated professional experience of officers who spent
their careers collecting intelligence, conducting counterintelligence
operations, managing sources, investigating security threats and working within
the institutional doctrine of the Bureau.
There is also a professional irony in publicly criticizing
the competence and intellectual quality of serving intelligence personnel after
having been responsible for their leadership.
During his tenure, there were also concerns among officers
about an apparent “they versus us” approach to professional relationships,
reportedly reflected in the recurring question, “ɔka yɛ ho?”
— “is he or she one of us?” If such concerns are accurate,
they raise a legitimate question about whether the very culture now being criticized
was not, at least in part, reinforced by the leadership philosophy of the
period.
An intelligence organization cannot develop professional
analytical capacity by sidelining experienced officers in favour of individuals
whose principal qualification is perceived political affinity or personal
loyalty. If the former Director-General wishes to make the quality of Ghanaian
intelligence personnel a subject of public debate, he must also be prepared to
subject his own leadership decisions to the same scrutiny. If he chooses to
surround himself with inexperienced officers who cannot produce useful
intelligence products and he cannot also analyze the reports and produce
forward-looking assessments from them, then the supposed empty reports he
submits to the policy-maker rests squarely on him as the highest official of
the organization. He cannot blame a system that has worked for his predecessors
for ages and is still working for his successor who was his administrator. How
then did or do they handle the system such that they could rely on it but he
could not use the same system effectively during his tenure as the head? The
article is therefore useful as a call for stronger intelligence analysis. It is
much less convincing as a comprehensive diagnosis of the Bureau.
It must also be emphasized that what is most associated with
his tenure was the drive for political power maximization. It is not new for
the Bureau to make estimates of which party wins a constituency during an
election year, but never has that been given prominence as witnessed under his
watch. During that period, district officers were sidelined and officers
perceived as loyalists were carefully selected with a huge budget above all
other operations and prioritized to go round the country, with a Kobo collect
App, just to assess the chances of the NPP. That was his priority, and that is
what he is associated with in the minds of the Bureau’s operatives. If that was
the demand of his political masters or consumer and is prioritized above
galamsey operations that were destroying livelihoods and the environment for
Ghanaians, how does this same person turn around to question the system that
has produced volumes on galamsey activities, with some actors even daring to
mention known party activists associated with the NPP?
One cannot say that the intelligence/national security
architecture is perfect in Ghana. However, what the writer pointed out as the
challenges confronting the BNI are far from reality. The realities he categorizes
as the demand side to be written about later should have been the first, since
it is based on demand that goods are supplied. To begin with, the colonial
administration’s demand for political intelligence has never been reviewed and
revoked, hence it remains in the Bureau’s collection list. Second, Ghana does
not have what is known in the advanced countries as the National Intelligence
Priorities Framework that seeks to prioritize threats according to the
consumer’s preferences. Under such circumstances, the intelligence agencies are
left with no choice but to continue collection from the last known collection
demands even if they appear obsolete. Therefore, one cannot condemn the
supplier when the consumer has not made their demands known. Third is the over
politicization of the BNI, from the recruitment of new personnel to the
appointment of commanders to the DG.
Intelligence is not simply the ability to predict the
future. Nor is an intelligence report rendered inferior because it records an
incident. Incident reporting can constitute the raw material from which
strategic assessments, threat indicators, patterns and warnings are developed.
Analysis without reliable collection is speculation. Collection without
analysis is incomplete intelligence. Counterintelligence, meanwhile, cuts
across both because it seeks to protect the intelligence enterprise while
identifying, understanding and neutralizing hostile intelligence activity.
The proper debate, therefore, should not be whether the
Bureau “files” or “thinks”. It should be whether its collection,
counterintelligence, investigative, analytical and dissemination functions
collectively satisfy Ghana’s national security requirements. That is a much
more serious question, and it deserves an answer based on intelligence
doctrine, professional experience and evidence rather than sweeping
declarations about an institution that the author himself led.
Source: Oko Tetteh – Researcher and Intelligence
Analyst
No comments:
Post a Comment